Voting for elections to the 224-member Karnataka Legislative Assembly is scheduled to be held on Wednesday, May 10, and the counting of votes will be taken up on Saturday, May 13. However, a series of defections ensured the BJP’s return less than two years later. The Congress and JD(S) joined hands to form a coalition and formed a government. In the 2018 elections in the state, BJP emerged as the single-largest party with 104 seats followed by Congress (78) and JD(S) with 37 seats. Notably, the Congress has been out of power in the state since 1999. The South First – People’s Pulse pre-poll survey gave 98 seats to the Congress (range of 95-105 seats), 95 seats to the BJP in the 90-100 seats range and 27 seats to the JD(S) in the 25-30 seats range. Vistara News predicted a fractured mandate with 88-93 seats to the BJP, 84-90 seats to the Congress and 23-26 seats to the JD(S). Similarly, the Public TV’s Mood of Karnataka survey also placed Congress ahead in the range of 98-108 seats while predicting 85-95 seats to the BJP and 28-33 seats to the JD(S). The TV9 and C-Voter survey predicted 106-116 seats for the Congress, 79-89 seats to the BJP and 24-34 for the JD(S). However, the surveys stopped short of giving either of the two parties a clear majority, predicting apossible hung House in Karnataka. The Zee News-Matrize and Suvarna News 24×7 surveys, for instance, claim that the ruling BJP will likely emerge as the single-largest party.Ī majority of pre-poll surveys carried out by regional news channels last month also placed Congress in the lead and the BJP at a not-so-distant second. While most pre-poll surveys have shown the Congress in lead, there are a few outliers as well. It predicted 57-65 seats for the BJP with a vote share of 33 per cent. Similarly, a pre-poll survey conducted by a Kannada outlet Eedina claimed Congress heading for a comfortable majority with 132-140 seats. The survey also showed Congress leader Siddaramaiah as the most favoured leader as Chief Minister with 42 per cent votes, followed by Basavaraj Bommai at 31 per cent. The India Today-C-Voter survey also showed a loss for the BJP, giving the party only 74-86 seats. The Janata Dal (Secular), meanwhile, is expected to win 21-29 seats with a 16.1 per cent vote share, suggesting a fall from the 37 seats it won in 2018 with around 18 per cent of the votes.Īlso Read: Karnataka Assembly elections 2023: Six constituencies to watch out for The BJP, on the other hand, is likely to retain its vote share of 36 per cent that the earlier ABP-C-Voter opinion polls had shown a month ahead of polls. The Congress is also poised to emerge as the party with the highest vote share of 40.2 per cent, up 2.2 per cent from the 38 per cent it bagged in the 2018 polls. The BJP, on the other hand, is expected to win between 73 and 85 seats, a massive fall from the 104 seats it won in the Assembly elections in 2018, as per the survey. See the complete profile on LinkedIn and discover Neil’s connections and jobs at similar companies. Shiggaon Election 2023: Karnataka CM Basavaraj Bommai seeks mandate for fourth term View Neil Sumaru’s profile on LinkedIn, the world’s largest professional community.
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